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Southern Myanmar May See Continued Heavy Rain Due to Weak Storm
September 24
According to projections from the ICON Model, between September 26 and 28, Tanintharyi Region, Dawei Township and surrounding areas may see very heavy rain, with rainfall amounts of 70 millimeters to 125 millimeters within the next 24 hours, and in isolated areas nearly 150 millimeters, according to projections by meteorologist U Win Naing.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and its announcements, the strong weak storm that formed in the west-central Bay of Bengal crossed into the northern coastal area of Andhra Pradesh in India and continues to remain overland, it is said.
Although the weak storm has moved into India's interior, it has helped maintain the strength of the southwest monsoon over the Bay of Bengal and the Andaman Sea, and in particular, monsoon cloud banks moving in from the Andaman Sea and Thailand's side will continue to bring frequent and heavy rain to Tanintharyi Region, Mon State, Kayin State, Yangon Region, Ayeyarwady Region and Bago Region, it is said.
According to the ICON Model's announcement, within the 7 days from September 24 to 30, in southern Myanmar and delta areas where the monsoon directly hits, such as Kayin State, Mon State and Tanintharyi Region, total rainfall may reach 170 millimeters to more than 291 millimeters, it is said.
In the mountainous areas of Kayin State and Mon State, flash floods and landslides must be watched for, and in low-lying areas of Ayeyarwady Region and areas of the Nga Wun River basin including Lay Myet Hna, flooding conditions may continue due to rainfall and tidal blockage, it is said.
Ayeyarwady Region may see heavy rain with rainfall amounts of 104 millimeters to 221 millimeters, and Yangon Region may receive 132 millimeters to 170 millimeters, it is said.
In Bago Region (southern/eastern) and Shan State (southern/eastern), rainfall amounts may reach 100 millimeters to 180 millimeters, so water levels in the Bago River and Sittoung River may rise and could approach warning levels, so they must be carefully monitored, it is said.
In southern Shan State and eastern Shan State, flash floods from mountain streams may suddenly rise, it is said.
In Sagaing Region (upper), Kachin State, Chin State and Rakhine State, total rainfall may reach 60 millimeters to 126 millimeters, and water levels in the Ayeyarwady River and Chindwin River may rise slightly, it is said.
In Mandalay Region, Magway Region and Sagaing Region (lower), because the Rakhine Range blocks them, 7-day rainfall will only be below 50 millimeters and rain will be sparse, according to projections by meteorologist U Win Naing.
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