MyoTaw: Heavy Rain Expected in Myanmar’s Inland and Coastal Regions from July 25 to 27

Heavier rainfall expected in inland and coastal regions of Myanmar from July 25 to 27

July 23

According to the ICON model's forecast, a cyclonic circulation is beginning to form in the northern Bay of Bengal/offshore area and is expected to intensify further by the morning of July 26.

In the forecasts of the ECMWF and GFS models, the strengthening of the monsoon is more evident than the formation of a cyclone, and there is no clear indication of a cyclonic development yet. The southwest monsoon is said to be strongly entering Myanmar's southern and central regions via the Bay of Bengal.

According to model forecasts, between July 25 and 26, a low-pressure area in the northern Bay of Bengal may develop into a strong low-pressure area, but the likelihood of it reaching cyclone strength remains low.

The southwest monsoon is expected to strengthen further, pushing more moisture and rain clouds inland. As a result, inland regions far from the coast may experience increased rainfall intensity between July 25 and 26.

For the 48-hour period from July 25 to 27, rainfall forecasts indicate that Rakhine State may receive an estimated 100 to 250 millimeters of rainfall, with heavy downpours expected.

Tanintharyi Region, Mon State, and Kayin State are forecast to receive an estimated 75 to 110 millimeters of rainfall, with potential for heavy rain.

Ayeyarwady Region, Yangon Region, and Bago Region are expected to receive an estimated 50 to 110 millimeters of rainfall, ranging from moderate to heavy rain.

Sagaing Region (Upper and Lower), Kachin State, and Chin State are forecast to receive an estimated 50 to 125 millimeters of rainfall, with scattered heavy rain possible.

Magway Region, Mandalay Region, and Naypyidaw are expected to receive an estimated 25 to 50 millimeters of rainfall, with scattered showers.

Shan State (Southern, Northern, and Eastern) and Kayah State are forecast to receive an estimated 25 to 75 millimeters of rainfall, with widely scattered showers, according to the analysis of meteorologist U Win Naing.

MyoTaw News Channel